The Premier League heats up as Burnley face Liverpool on September 14, 2025, at Turf Moor in a highly anticipated Round 4 clash.
Scheduled for 4:00 PM EAT, this match pits a resurgent Burnley, freshly promoted from the Championship, against a Liverpool side brimming with confidence as reigning champions.
With both teams eager to assert their credentials early in the 2025/26 season, the encounter promises intensity and drama.
Turf Moor’s passionate atmosphere will provide a stern test for Liverpool, while Burnley aim to capitalize on home advantage in their quest for a statement result.
Team form & recent performances
Burnley, under the guidance of Scott Parker, have returned to the Premier League with a point to prove after dominating the Championship last season. Their recent form in the second tier showcased their attacking flair and defensive resilience.
Over their last five competitive matches, Burnley secured victories against Millwall (3-1), QPR (5-0), Sheffield United (2-1), Watford (2-1), and Norwich (2-1), with a draw against Derby (0-0). This run highlights their ability to score consistently, led by forwards like Zeki Amdouni and Lyle Foster, while maintaining a solid defensive structure.
However, their step up to the Premier League will test their ability to handle top-tier opposition, particularly against a side as clinical as Liverpool. Burnley’s high pressing and quick transitions are strengths, but lapses in concentration against elite teams could expose their backline.
Liverpool, managed by Arne Slot, have started the season in scintillating form, boasting a 100% record after three matches, according to the Premier League’s official review.
Their recent performances include friendly wins over Yokohama F. Marinos (3-1), AC Milan (2-4, despite the loss showing attacking intent), Stoke (5-0), and Preston (3-1), alongside Premier League results like a draw against Crystal Palace (1-1) and a loss to Brighton (2-3).
The Reds’ attacking trio, featuring Mohamed Salah, Alexander Isak, and Cody Gakpo, has been relentless, supported by a robust midfield led by Alexis Mac Allister and Ryan Gravenberch.
Liverpool’s strength lies in their fluid attacking play and high-intensity pressing, though occasional defensive vulnerabilities, as seen in the Brighton match, could give Burnley hope if they capitalize on counter-attacks.
Head-to-head record
Historically, Liverpool have dominated this fixture, with the head-to-head record favoring the Reds. In 19 previous meetings across all competitions, Liverpool have won 14, Burnley have claimed 3 victories, and 2 matches ended in draws.
At Turf Moor, Liverpool have won 8 of 10 encounters, with Burnley securing just 2 wins. Recent clashes underline this trend: Liverpool won 3-1 at Anfield in February 2024 and 2-0 at Turf Moor in December 2023.
Burnley’s last home win against Liverpool came in August 2016 (2-0), a rare upset driven by tactical discipline.
Liverpool’s superior firepower and experience in these matchups suggest they hold the edge, but Burnley’s occasional ability to frustrate the Reds at home cannot be discounted.
Prediction & scoreline
This match is a classic David vs. Goliath encounter, with Liverpool’s attacking prowess and title-contending pedigree facing Burnley’s gritty determination and home support.
Burnley’s recent scoring form and high-pressing style could trouble Liverpool, particularly if they exploit any defensive lapses. However, Liverpool’s depth, led by Salah’s clinical finishing and Slot’s tactical acumen, makes them favorites.
Burnley’s defense, while solid in the Championship, may struggle against Liverpool’s relentless attack. Expect Liverpool to control possession and create multiple chances, while Burnley will look to hit on the counter. Given the historical data and current form, a competitive but ultimately one-sided affair is likely. predicted Scoreline: Burnley 1-3 Liverpool.
Betting tips
For bettors looking to capitalize on this match, consider Liverpool to Win at odds of around 1.40 (check platforms like Betika or SportPesa for exact figures) is a safe bet given their dominance and Burnley’s step-up in competition.
Second, Both Teams to Score (BTTS) at approximately 1.80 is appealing, as Burnley’s recent goal-scoring form suggests they could nick a goal, while Liverpool’s attack is near-unstoppable.
Finally, for a higher-risk option, consider Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime at around 1.60, as the Egyptian star remains a consistent threat and is yet to hit peak form this season.