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Bournemouth vs Brighton: Prediction, Teams Form, Head-to-Head and Betting Tips

With both teams showcasing distinct tactical identities, this south coast showdown at the Vitality Stadium is set to deliver a compelling spectacle for fans and bettors alike.
By Martin MwabiliSeptember 11, 20254 Mins Read
Bournemouth vs Brighton

The Premier League heats up as Bournemouth face Brighton & Hove Albion at the Vitality Stadium on Saturday, September 13, 2025, with kickoff scheduled for 5:00 PM EAT. This Round 4 clash promises an intriguing battle between two sides with ambitions to solidify their positions in the top half of the table.

Bournemouth, under the guidance of Andoni Iraola, have shown flashes of brilliance at home, while Brighton, led by Fabian Hürzeler, arrive with momentum after a stunning victory over Manchester City.

With both teams showcasing distinct tactical identities, this south coast showdown at the Vitality Stadium is set to deliver a compelling spectacle for fans and bettors alike.


Team form & recent performances

Bournemouth enter this match with a mixed bag of results in their last five Premier League outings, posting a form guide of W-L-W-L-D. Their most recent performances include a 2-0 home victory against Leicester, a 1-3 loss away to Manchester City, a 0-1 home defeat to Aston Villa, a 2-1 win at Arsenal, and a 1-1 draw against Manchester United.

The Cherries have demonstrated resilience at home, with their sole home game this season resulting in a clean sheet and a win. Antoine Semenyo’s pace and directness have been pivotal, consistently troubling defenses, but Bournemouth’s defensive frailties, particularly against top sides, have seen them concede in three of their last five matches.

Their counter-attacking style thrives at the Vitality, but lapses in concentration have cost them points against stronger opponents.

Brighton, meanwhile, boast a stronger recent record with a form guide of W-W-L-D-W across their last five matches. Their standout result was a 4-1 thrashing of Tottenham away, followed by a 3-2 home win over Liverpool, a 2-0 victory at Wolves, a 1-1 draw against Newcastle, and a 3-2 home triumph over West Ham.

The Seagulls have been prolific in attack, netting 10 goals in their last five games, with Brajan Gruda emerging as a creative force in midfield. However, their away form remains a concern, as they failed to score or win in their only Premier League away game this season.

Brighton’s fluid, high-tempo style under Hürzeler has overwhelmed opponents, but defensive inconsistencies, conceding nine goals in their last five, highlight vulnerabilities that Bournemouth could exploit.


Head-to-head record

The historical record between Bournemouth and Brighton is evenly matched, with 25 total meetings yielding 10 wins each and five draws. At the Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth hold a slight edge, securing eight victories to Brighton’s five in 14 encounters.

Recent clashes, however, tilt in Brighton’s favor, with the Seagulls winning five of the last six meetings across all competitions. Notable results include Brighton’s 2-1 victory at Bournemouth in November 2024 and a 3-0 Bournemouth win in April 2024, showcasing the unpredictable nature of this fixture.

The biggest aggregate scoreline came in April 2019, when Bournemouth thrashed Brighton 5-0 away. Historically, these matches produce goals, with 70 scored across 25 games (37 for Bournemouth, 33 for Brighton), and both teams scoring in 45.5% of their recent Premier League encounters.

This suggests a competitive, potentially high-scoring affair, with Bournemouth’s home advantage possibly countering Brighton’s recent dominance.


Prediction & scoreline

This match pits Bournemouth’s rapid counter-attacks against Brighton’s fluid attacking patterns, setting the stage for a tactical chess match. Bournemouth’s unbeaten home record this season and their ability to capitalize on transitions, led by Semenyo, give them a slight edge at the Vitality Stadium.

However, Brighton’s scoring surge—nine goals in their last five matches—and midfield control through Gruda make them dangerous, especially after their confidence-boosting win over Manchester City. Bournemouth’s defensive lapses against top sides could be exposed by Brighton’s attacking depth, but the Seagulls’ struggles away from home temper expectations of a straightforward victory.

Considering the head-to-head trend of goals and both teams’ attacking intent, a draw seems a plausible outcome, with both sides likely to find the net. The predicted scoreline is Bournemouth 1-1 Brighton, reflecting a tightly contested match where neither side fully asserts dominance.


Betting tips

For bettors looking to capitalize on this Premier League clash, consider the Both Teams to Score (BTTS) market at odds around 1.49, given the 45.5% BTTS rate in recent head-to-heads and both teams’ scoring consistency. Brighton have scored in four of their last five, while Bournemouth’s home games often see goals.

The Under 2.5 Goals market at approximately 2.44 is worth exploring, as Bournemouth’s disciplined home setup and Brighton’s away struggles could lead to a low-scoring affair, aligning with the predicted 1-1 scoreline.

Finally, for those seeking a safer option, Brighton Draw No Bet at odds near 1.75 provides value, leveraging Brighton’s recent dominance over Bournemouth and their 57% win rate in their last seven matches, while mitigating the risk of a draw.

AFC Bournemouth Brighton

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