The UEFA Super Cup kicks off the 2025-26 European football season with a blockbuster clash between Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and Tottenham Hotspur at the Stadio Friuli in Udine, Italy, on August 13, 2025.
PSG, fresh off their historic 2024-25 treble, including their first-ever Champions League title, face a Tottenham side buoyed by their Europa League triumph but navigating a transitional phase under new manager Thomas Frank.
This match pits the French giants’ attacking firepower against a Spurs squad looking to defy the odds and claim their first Super Cup title.
Prediction
PSG enter as clear favorites, with their formidable squad depth and attacking prowess giving them the edge.
Luis Enrique’s side showcased their dominance last season, dismantling Inter Milan 5-0 in the Champions League final and securing Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France.
Despite a 3-0 loss to Chelsea in the FIFA Club World Cup final, PSG’s star-studded lineup, led by Ballon d’Or contender Ousmane Dembélé, is expected to overwhelm a Tottenham side still finding its rhythm.
Spurs, under Frank’s pragmatic leadership, will rely on defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities, but the absence of key players like James Maddison and Son Heung-min’s departure to LAFC hampers their chances.
Expect PSG to control possession and exploit Tottenham’s depleted squad, with a predicted scoreline of 2-0 in favor of the Parisians within 90 minutes. The game is likely to see under 4.5 goals, given the historical trend of low-scoring Super Cup matches and Tottenham’s defensive approach.
Possible lineups
PSG’s lineup is expected to be near full strength, with Luis Enrique likely to field a dynamic attacking unit despite a short pre-season. With Gianluigi Donnarumma potentially leaving, new signing Lucas Chevalier is set to start in goal.
The backline should feature Achraf Hakimi at right-back, Marquinhos and Lucas Beraldo at center-back, and Nuno Mendes at left-back. In midfield, Vitinha and Fabian Ruiz will provide creativity and control, with Warren Zaire-Emery stepping in for the suspended Joao Neves.
Up top, Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Desire Doue are expected to form a devastating front three, with Goncalo Ramos as a potential substitute to lead the line.
For Tottenham, Thomas Frank faces injury challenges. Guglielmo Vicario is likely to start in goal, protected by a back four of Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero, Micky van de Ven, and Djed Spence.
The midfield will rely on Rodrigo Bentancur and Joao Palhinha for defensive stability, with Pape Matar Sarr and Mohammed Kudus providing creativity. Brennan Johnson and Richarlison are expected to lead the attack, with Wilson Odobert or Mathys Tel potentially featuring on the left.
Tottenham’s bench may include young talents like Lucas Bergvall, but injuries to Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, and Radu Dragusin limit their options.
Betting tips
Betting markets heavily favor PSG, with odds of 1.40-1.46 for a PSG win within 90 minutes, reflecting their 70% implied probability of victory. A strong bet is PSG to win with a -1 handicap at +110, given their attacking depth and Tottenham’s missing key players.
For those seeking higher returns, combining a PSG win with over 2.5 goals offers value at 1.85, as PSG’s high press could exploit Tottenham’s weakened defense. Ousmane Dembélé is a prime candidate to score or assist at +600, given his 35 goals and 13 assists last season.
For Tottenham, Joao Palhinha to be booked is a solid pick at 6/1, considering his history of 13 yellow cards in a Premier League season.
Another intriguing option is Brennan Johnson to have at least one shot on target, paired with Palhinha’s booking, for a combined 6/1, as Johnson’s pace could test PSG’s new goalkeeper.
Bettors should note that Tottenham’s +2 handicap with under 4.5 goals at 1/1 could appeal to those expecting a resilient Spurs performance in a low-scoring affair.