The football world is buzzing with anticipation as Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) and Real Madrid prepare to clash in the FIFA Club World Cup semifinals on July 9, 2025, at MetLife Stadium. This blockbuster encounter pits two of Europe’s most decorated clubs against each other, with PSG coming off a dominant Ligue 1 campaign and a historic Champions League triumph, while Real Madrid, the record 14-time Champions League winners, aim to reassert their global dominance.
Both teams are loaded with star power, from PSG’s dynamic attacking trio to Real Madrid’s lethal combination of youth and experience. With a place in the final at stake, this match promises high drama and top-tier football.
Prediction
This match is set to be a closely contested affair, with both teams showcasing formidable form in recent competitions. PSG have been in scintillating form, riding a five-game winning streak across all competitions, including a 2-0 victory over Bayern Munich in the Club World Cup quarterfinals. Their attacking prowess, led by the likes of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Bradley Barcola, has been relentless, with 17 goals in their last five matches. However, injuries and suspensions, particularly in defense, could expose vulnerabilities.
Real Madrid, under Xabi Alonso’s guidance, have also been impressive, securing a 3-2 win over Borussia Dortmund in the quarterfinals. With Kylian Mbappé pushing for a start after his match-winning contribution against Dortmund, Real Madrid’s attack remains a significant threat. Given both teams’ defensive absences and attacking firepower, an open game with goals on both sides is likely. A narrow 2-1 victory for Real Madrid is predicted, as their experience in high-stakes knockout matches could give them the edge, though PSG’s home-like atmosphere among their global fanbase in the U.S. could make it a tight affair.
Head-to-head
The rivalry between PSG and Real Madrid is steeped in history, with the two sides meeting 12 times in competitive fixtures, primarily in the UEFA Champions League. The head-to-head record is evenly split, with each team securing five wins and two draws. Their most recent encounters in the 2021-22 Champions League Round of 16 saw PSG win the first leg 1-0 at home, only for Real Madrid to stage a dramatic 3-1 comeback in the second leg at the Santiago Bernabéu, advancing 3-2 on aggregate.
Key moments in their history include Real Madrid’s 5-2 aggregate victory in the 2017-18 Champions League quarterfinals and a 2-2 draw in the 2019-20 group stage. Notably, both teams have scored in eight of their last ten meetings, suggesting a high-likelihood of goals in this matchup. PSG’s home advantage in past encounters has been significant, but Real Madrid’s knack for performing in knockout scenarios gives them a psychological edge.
Possible lineups
PSG will be without key defenders Willian Pacho and Lucas Hernandez, both suspended, which could force manager Luis Enrique to rely on Lucas Beraldo alongside Marquinhos at center-back. Ousmane Dembélé, who missed time due to a recent injury, is pushing for a start, but his fitness remains a concern. A likely PSG lineup could feature Donnarumma in goal; a back four of Hakimi, Marquinhos, Beraldo, and Mendes; midfielders Fabian, Vitinha, and Neves; and attackers Barcola, Doue, and Kvaratskhelia.
Real Madrid, meanwhile, will miss summer signing Dean Huijsen due to a one-game ban, but Aurélien Tchouaméni is expected to return to bolster the midfield. Kylian Mbappé is likely to start after his decisive impact off the bench against Dortmund. A possible Real Madrid lineup includes Courtois in goal; a defense of Vazquez, Tchouameni, Asencio, and Mendy; midfielders Valverde and Camavinga; and attackers Rodrygo, Bellingham, Vinicius, and Mbappé. Both managers have tactical flexibility, but injuries could dictate a more attacking approach.
Betting tips
The betting market reflects the tight nature of this contest, with Real Madrid slight favorites at 2.10 odds to win, while PSG are priced at 2.30, and a draw sits at 3.40. Given the historical trend of both teams scoring in their head-to-head clashes, backing Both Teams to Score (BTTS) at 1.67 offers solid value. Another tempting option is Over 2.5 Goals at 1.80, as both sides have been prolific in front of goal and have shown defensive frailties in recent matches.
For those seeking a higher-risk bet, Kylian Mbappé to score anytime at 2.00 is worth considering, given his knack for performing against his former club and his recent form. A more conservative option is Real Madrid to win or draw (Double Chance) at 1.50, leveraging their experience in knockout competitions. With both teams’ attacking depth and defensive absences, expect an entertaining, goal-filled encounter.